December's numbers. Median down.

We snapped the streak. Median for Rivy and San Berdu fell in December. Riverside's median sales price slipped 2% down to $196k from $200k in Nov. San Berdu slipped about 6% from $160k down to $154k. Sales numbers were decent though. Falling median is quite normal for this time of year so don't read to much into it.



Sales Volume Median Price
All homes Dec-08 Dec-09 %Chng Dec-08 Dec-09 %Chng
Los Angeles 5,848 7,679 31.3% $320,000 $339,000 5.9%
Orange 2,580 2,885 11.8% $397,000 $435,000 9.6%
Riverside 4,435 4,282 -3.4% $209,000 $196,000 -6.2%
San Bernardino 2,862 2,934 2.5% $180,000 $154,000 -14.4%
San Diego 3,325 3,652 9.8% $300,000 $330,000 10.0%
Ventura 876 896 2.3% $338,000 $360,000 6.5%
SoCal 19,926 22,328 12.1% $278,000 $289,000 4.0%


Here's the DQ report.

Southern California home sales in December remained above year-ago levels for the 18th consecutive month, bolstered by gains in many mid- to high-end communities. The median sale price rose year-over-year for the first time since summer 2007, reflecting a more normal distribution of sales across all price categories, a real estate information service reported.

A total of 22,328 new and resale homes sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties last month. That was up 16.4 percent from November’s 19,181, and up 12.1 percent from 19,926 in December 2008, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.

Sales almost always rise from November to December. Last month’s gain was a bit higher than the average increase of 13 percent since 1988, when DataQuick’s statistics begin.

The December sales tally was the highest for that month since 24,209 homes sold in December 2006, but it was still 11.2 percent below the average for a December – 25,143 sales – over the past 22 years.

The sales pattern has changed a lot over the past year, with many mid-to high-end communities now contributing more transactions.

For example, relatively large annual sales gains were recorded last month in many well-known, higher-end markets including Beverly Hills, Santa Monica and Newport Beach – areas that saw very low sales a year ago. Meanwhile, some of the more affordable inland areas that saw robust 2008 sales recorded year-over-year declines last month. Those markets included Moreno Valley, Lake Elsinore and Palmdale.

The percentage of Southland homes sold above $500,000 last month rose to 20.2 percent of all sales, up from 16.5 percent a year earlier and the highest since it was 23.6 percent in August 2008. On average since 2000, $500,000-plus sales have made up 36.5 percent of total sales. Right before the credit crunch hit in August 2007, making larger “jumbo” mortgages more expensive and harder to obtain, $500,000-plus sales made up about 52 percent of Southland transactions.

More sales in once-dormant high-end communities helps explain last month’s year-over-year gain in the median sale price – the point where half of the homes sold for more, half for less.

The median paid for all Southland houses and condos sold in December was $289,000, up 1.4 percent from $285,000 in November and up 4 percent from $278,000 a year earlier. The last time the median increased year-over-year was in August 2007, when it rose 2.7 percent to $500,000, near its peak.

The median has increased or held steady for eight consecutive months, but in December it was still 42.8 percent lower than the peak Southland median of $505,000 reached during several months in early and mid 2007. In late 2008 and early 2009, the monthly declines in the median from a year earlier ranged from 30 to 40 percent.

December’s foreclosure resales remained well below peak levels but were still a large force in the market, edging higher than the prior month for the first time since last February. Foreclosure resales – houses and condos sold in December that had been foreclosed on in the prior 12 months – were 39.6 percent of resales, up from 39.0 percent in November but down from 53.5 percent in December 2008. They hit a high of 56.7 percent last February, then tapered or leveled off month-to-month until last month’s uptick.

I just want the garage


The house is amazing but it's way too amazing for the area it's in. It never ceases to amaze me how people will build million dollars homes in hundred dollar areas. Check out this listing ar 5301 Lochmoor Dr in an unincorporated area of Riverside (near Raceway Ford). The house is incredible but in it's current location I don't see them getting $1.25M or $1.anything for that matter. But the garage......... And I wouldn't mind the cars either!

Banks suck and Bill Maher knows it

Good deals?

I get quite a few emails asking "are we at the bottom", "is it a good time to buy" and so forth. Those are impossible questions to answer with any certainty. We can make educated guesses but my estimation may be no better than the NAR's forecasts (although I think it is). Heck anything could happen in this market. Nothing surprises me anymore. But overall I think we are close to the bottom in the nicer areas and probably there at most of the other areas in the IE. The OC and LA have miles to go.

Personally I feel there are some pretty good deals out there. I'm even seeing great deals in some of the better areas. There have been some closed sales that I look at and kick myself for not making an offer on them. I'm seeing some houses close for $50k under listing price. So the deals are there. Not everyone is getting them. I also still see houses close for prices that make me go HUH??? what the hell were those idiots thinking.

It looks to me like most of Riverside is now very close to the bottom. There are a few tracts that are holding up but for the most part I think Riverside is a buy. Corona on the other hand still seems a little high with the exception of a few areas like Sycamore Creek which is probably close to as low as it will go. But there are still some good deals in Corona as you will see bleow.

The problem for most buyers right now is lack of inventory. The prices are decent but there's not much to buy.

Here's a few of examples of homes that I would probably have bought at the closing prices.


How about this house in Norco Hills. 1456 Morab Way. This monster closed for $97 s/f. Let me tell you that is a SMOKIN" deal. Yes it needed some appliances but for a 4600+ s/f house on a 1/2 acre lot on a hill with a drop dead gorgeous view, $450k is a steal.




290 Wild Horse Ln, also in Norco Hills. I actually almost put an offer in on this one. The only reason I didn't is it's a littls smaller than I'm looking for. But this 2800 s/f one story with nice landscaping on a 1/2 acre and a great looking pool closed for $428k. The price per sq/ft is a little high at $149 but that's primarily because it's a smaller home.



How about this monster up in Woodcrest. 17564 Seven Springs. This 4000+ s/f house on over an acre and a half has a back yard like a resort. It has a totally bitchin pool and some pretty nice landscaping and hardscaping. This thing sold as a short sale for $450k. I would have bought this house in a heart beat. There is no Mello Roos in this tract either!

People are getting some good deals out there.